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Sector-by-sector gas cost sensitivity in Serbian export industries Read More »

Sector-by-sector gas cost sensitivity in Serbian export industries

Steel: Gas as a volatility multiplier rather than a fuel cost In Serbia’s steel industry, gas sensitivity manifests less through average cost levels and more through volatility transmission. Gas is used directly for heating and indirectly via electricity consumption in rolling, casting, and finishing processes. While gas may represent a minority share of total energy […]

Gas markets as a structural cost driver for Serbian exporters Read More »

Gas markets as a structural cost driver for Serbian exporters

Natural gas has shifted from a relatively predictable industrial input to a structurally volatile cost driver across European markets. For Serbian exporters supplying the EU, gas price dynamics now shape not only operating costs, but also contract structures, risk allocation, and long-term competitiveness. Unlike the pre-2020 period, when long-term pipeline contracts smoothed price volatility, today’s

Electricity prices, production costs, and export competitiveness: What Serbian manufacturers face when selling into the EU Read More »

Electricity prices, production costs, and export competitiveness: What Serbian manufacturers face when selling into the EU

Electricity pricing has shifted from a background cost to a central competitive variable for Serbian export-oriented production. For companies selling into the European Union, power prices now influence operating margins, contract structure, carbon exposure, and long-term bankability. This is no longer theoretical; it is already embedded in buyer behavior, procurement models, and compliance frameworks. To

What the European gas market means for Serbia-based producers and exporters Read More »

What the European gas market means for Serbia-based producers and exporters

The European natural gas market has moved decisively away from its pre-2020 equilibrium. Price formation, supply security, and cost competitiveness are no longer primarily dictated by long-term contracts and pipeline marginal costs. Instead, they are shaped by a volatile interplay of LNG pricing, financial hedging, regulatory overlays, and gas-power coupling. For Serbia-based companies producing gas,

Oil market prices, cost trends and export economics for Serbian producers targeting the EU market Read More »

Oil market prices, cost trends and export economics for Serbian producers targeting the EU market

By 2030, Serbian exporters will no longer focus on whether global oil prices are “high” or “low,” but on whether delivered cost structures remain competitive once energy, carbon, logistics, and compliance are fully incorporated into EU-bound exports. Serbia does not compete as an upstream crude producer; it competes as a downstream processor, producing petroleum products,

Region: Serbia–North Macedonia gas pipeline project set for completion by 2027 Read More »

Region: Serbia–North Macedonia gas pipeline project set for completion by 2027

Plans for a new gas pipeline connecting Serbia and North Macedonia are moving forward with a defined timeline, as permitting is expected to conclude by mid-2026, followed immediately by construction. The update came after talks between Serbian Minister of Mining and Energy Dubravka Đedović and her North Macedonian counterpart Sanja Božinovska. Serbia’s energy strategy has

Industry, electricity and the carbon clock: Serbia’s race to secure green power before CBAM reshapes the market Read More »

Industry, electricity and the carbon clock: Serbia’s race to secure green power before CBAM reshapes the market

Europe’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) has introduced a new dimension of industrial competitiveness: the carbon clock. Every year that passes without decarbonisation increases the cost burden for exporters selling into the European Union. For Serbia, whose manufacturing base is heavily reliant on electricity-intensive processes, CBAM represents both a challenge and an opportunity. The challenge

Serbia 2030: A manufacturing hub powered by wind, solar and engineering talent — or an energy-expensive periphery? Read More »

Serbia 2030: A manufacturing hub powered by wind, solar and engineering talent — or an energy-expensive periphery?

By 2030, Serbia will be defined by the decisions it makes today about electricity, industrial policy and renewable energy. Two futures exist in parallel. In the first, Serbia becomes the leading nearshore manufacturing hub for Central and Western Europe, powered by renewable electricity, robust engineering talent and advanced fabrication capabilities. In the second, Serbia fails

The Green Megawatt Strategy: How Serbia can turn renewable energy into its strongest nearshoring advantage Read More »

The Green Megawatt Strategy: How Serbia can turn renewable energy into its strongest nearshoring advantage

The global industrial landscape is reorganising around energy. For decades, labour cost and geographic proximity were the core determinants of manufacturing location. Today, green electricity—its price, availability and carbon profile—has emerged as the most important variable in European industrial planning. Serbia stands at a unique intersection: it possesses competitive labour, strong engineering capability and geographic

Europe’s new industrial equation: labour, engineering, green electricity — can Serbia achieve all three? Read More »

Europe’s new industrial equation: labour, engineering, green electricity — can Serbia achieve all three?

Europe’s industrial model is shifting toward a new competitive equation. The old formula—low-cost labour plus manufacturing scale—is being replaced by a triad: labour × engineering × green electricity. Countries capable of delivering all three will dominate the industrial landscape of the next decade. Serbia is one of the few near-EU economies positioned to combine these factors,

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